OKBet Picks, Analysis, and Best Bet For Baylor vs. Iowa State CFB Games

The Florida Gators haven’t looked good since their upset win over the Utah Utes in week one, but they still have a chance to give the Tennessee Volunteers their first loss of the season when they play at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee, at 3:30PM ET on Saturday, September 24.

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Will the Vols get to 4-0 with a win over a good Gators team? You might want to keep reading about Florida vs. Tennessee to find out.

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Florida vs. Tennessee Florida vs. Tennessee Analysis

The Widespread
Tennessee’s high-flying offense has averaged 52 points per game this season. A lot of those points are from the passing game. Hendon Hooker is among the best quarterbacks in the country. He has thrown for 844 yards, six touchdowns, and no interceptions so far this season. Hooker has two reliable weapons on the outside: Jalin Hyatt and Cedric Tillman.

If Florida wants to win outright, it will have to limit Hooker’s passing. But Hooker can also run, so he poses a huge threat to his opponents every week.

If Florida can stop Tennessee’s passing game, the Volunteers will need to have a good running game. The Tennessee running game is where this offense has some questions. Pittsburgh was Tennessee’s toughest game up until this point. The Volunteers only had 91 yards rushing on 35 attempts. If Florida can stop Hooker from throwing, the Gators can do well defensively. But their run defense will need to get better, as they have given up an average of 195 rushing yards per game so far this season.

Florida’s offense has only been one-dimensional as of late. Many fans have complained that there aren’t enough chances for quarterback Anthony Richardson to make plays. The Gators quarterback has had trouble throwing the ball this season. He has thrown for 423 yards, but no touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He is only passing at a 53.2 percent rate. However, Richardson is the best when he tucks and runs. That’s the part of Richardson’s game that the Tennessee defense has to worry about.

Florida will want to slow the game down and run the ball. The Gators are one of the best in the SEC at doing that. That is what Billy Napier wants his Florida program to be known as. Look for Montrell Johnson Jr. to have a lot of touches. He has averaged 9.6 yards per carry so far this season.

The spread for this game is Tennessee -10.5. The environment will be hard for Florida. Neyland Stadium is one of the loudest stadiums for college football. Add to that the excitement about the Tennessee team, and it gets even harder. But the DimersBOT thinks Florida will cover the spread and so do we. The Gators will have their way on the ground, control the time, and keep it close.

The Over/Under

The number of points for this game is pretty high, considering how loud it is. There could be some nerves early on for Florida because of all the noise, and for Tennessee because of all the expectations. The Volunteers haven’t had to deal with this much buzz in years.

We like the Under and the DimersBOT agrees with us. If Florida keeps it close, it will be because it has success running the football. That will slow the clock down and keep Hooker from getting the ball. Since we want Florida to keep it close, the Under seems like the best pick here.

Florida vs. Tennessee Best Bet

Florida +10.5

The best bet for this game is on Florida to cover. The Gators will keep this game close thanks to the overall playmaking skills of Richardson and Johnson Jr. We still think the Volunteers will win outright, but don’t think that Napier’s team won’t put up a fight.

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